2022 IL Senate Race

2022 IL Senate Race

Summary

The 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Illinois.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Duckworth was first elected in 2016 defeating Republican incumbent Mark Kirk, and is seeking re-election to a second term. Should Duckworth win re-election, she would become the first woman ever to be re-elected for a second term in the state’s history.

One-term Democrat Tammy Duckworth was elected in 2016 with 54.9% of the vote. She will face Republican nominee Kathy Salvi in the general election.

Source: Wikipedia

OnAir Post: 2022 IL Senate Race

News

Kathy Salvi wins GOP nomination for US Senate in Illinois
Associated Press – June 29, 2022

Suburban Chicago personal injury lawyer Kathy Salvi has won the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Illinois

Kathy Salvi, a suburban Chicago personal injury lawyer, won the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Illinois on Tuesday, topping a field of seven candidates.

Salvi, 63, of Mundelein, will take on first-term incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Duckworth in November. Duckworth, a veteran of the Iraq War, is highly popular and was unopposed in the Tuesday’s primary. She will be the clear favorite as she seeks a second term in November in a place where Democrats control all statewide offices and voters twice rejected President Donald Trump by double digits.

Salvi, who works in a Chicago-area law firm, is a former Lake County assistant public defender who ran unsuccessfully for Congress in 2006. She campaigned this year on a pledge to work to unify her party and maintains Duckworth is beatable because the fall election will be about the success or failure of the Biden administration.

Tammy Duckworth

Tammy Duckworth

Current Position: US Senator since 2017
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Senator
Former Position(s): Assistant Secretary of Veterans Affairs from 2009 – 2011

Other Positions:
Chair, U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee Subcommittee – Airland Subcommittee
Chair, U.S. Senate Committee on Environment & Public Works – Subcommittee on Fisheries, Water and Wildlife,

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As many of us have come to know, the road to parenthood isn’t always easy. Today, @RepPressley
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Kathy Salvi

Kathy Salvi

Current Position: Public Defender
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 US Senator

Kathy is running for U.S. Senate because Illinoisans lack the leadership they deserve. Both in Springfield and in Washington, we are crippled by one-party rule that has done serious damage to Illinois families and businesses. Partisan politics and radical agendas prevail over the best interests of the people of Illinois.

For more information, go to this post.

Wikipedia

Edit links
For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2022 Illinois Senate election.

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The 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Illinois.

Incumbent Democratic senator Tammy Duckworth was re-elected for a second term against former U.S. House of Representatives candidate Kathy Salvi, the Republican nominee, winning by a margin of 15.3%, 0.2% more than her 2016 margin. Duckworth became the first woman ever to be re-elected for a second term in the state's history. This was the first Illinois U.S. Senate election where both major party candidates were female.

Salvi flipped seven counties—Calhoun, McDonough, Knox, Gallatin, Pulaski, Alexander, and Madison—that had voted for Duckworth in 2016. On the other hand, Duckworth won Kendall, McLean, Peoria, and Winnebago, which had all voted against her in 2016. With Duckworth's victory, this was the first time since 1986 that a Class 3 Illinois senator was re-elected to a successive six-year term, and the first time since 1992 that any party won the seat consecutively.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[16][17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTammy Duckworth (incumbent) 856,720 100.0%
Total votes856,720 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Tim Arview, insurance agent[26][22]
  • Maryann Mahlen[24]
  • Allison Salinas, activist[27]

Declined

Endorsements

Bobby Piton
Individuals
Kathy Salvi
State legislators
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Casey
Chlebek		Matthew
Dubiel		Peggy
Hubbard		Bobby
Piton		Kathy
Salvi		Jimmy Lee
Tillman		Anthony
Williams		Other
[a]		Margin
Real Clear PoliticsJune 6–13, 2022June 15, 20223.5%5.5%14.0%4.0%12.5%1.5%2.0%57.0%Hubbard +1.5
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Casey
Chlebek		Matthew
Dubiel		Peggy
Hubbard		Maryann
Mahlen		Bobby
Piton		Kathy
Salvi		Jimmy Lee
Tillman		Anthony
Williams		Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R)June 24, 2022518 (LV)± 4.4%1%6%11%2%3%20%2%0%53%
The Trafalgar Group (R)June 10–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 2.9%6%4%18%–6%15%2%1%49%
Ogden & Fry (R)June 11–12, 2022662 (LV)± 3.9%1%4%9%2%4%17%1%1%62%
Public Policy Polling (D)June 6–7, 2022677 (LV)± 3.8%1%7%10%–2%10%1%3%66%
Emerson CollegeMay 6–8, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%4%4%7%–6%5%1%1%72%

Results

Results by county
  Salvi
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Hubbard
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Dubiel
  •   20–30%
Republican primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKathy Salvi 216,007 30.23%
RepublicanPeggy Hubbard177,18024.79%
RepublicanMatthew "Matt" Dubiel90,53812.67%
RepublicanCasey Chlebek76,21310.66%
RepublicanRobert "Bobby" Piton65,4619.16%
RepublicanAnthony W. Williams52,8907.40%
RepublicanJimmy Lee Tillman II36,3425.09%
Total votes714,631 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[43]Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[44]Solid DApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[45]Safe DMarch 1, 2022
Politico[46]Solid DApril 1, 2022
RCP[47]Likely DOctober 26, 2022
Fox News[48]Solid DMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[49]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[50]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[51]Safe DSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Labor Unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Kathy Salvi (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
  • The Arab Daily News[35]
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Tammy
Duckworth (D)		Kathy
Salvi (R)		Undecided
[c]		Margin
FiveThirtyEightAugust 25 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202255.5%40.2%4.3%Duckworth +15.3
270towinOctober 14 – November 7, 2022November 8, 202251.6%36.4%12.0%Duckworth +15.2
Average53.6%38.3%8.1%Duckworth +15.3
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Tammy
Duckworth (D)		Kathy
Salvi (R)		OtherUndecided
Research Co.November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%55%38%2%[d]5%
CiviqsOctober 22–25, 2022659 (LV)± 4.3%56%40%2%[e]2%
Emerson CollegeOctober 20–24, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%39%3%[f]8%
Public Policy Polling (D)October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%50%36%5%[g]9%
Research AmericaOctober 5–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.1%48%29%10%[h]14%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%31%4%[i]16%
Victory Geek (D)August 25–28, 2022512 (LV)± 4.3%58%35%–7%
Victory Research (R)July 17–19, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%43%34%2%[j]20%
Hypothetical polling
Tammy Duckworth vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Tammy
Duckworth (D)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
Victory Research (R)July 17–19, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%44%36%20%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Illinois[63]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticTammy Duckworth (incumbent) 2,329,136 56.82% +1.96%
RepublicanKathy Salvi1,701,05541.50%+1.72%
LibertarianBill Redpath68,6711.68%−1.53%
Write-in340.0%-0.01%
Total votes4,098,896 100.0%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Duckworth won 14 of 17 congressional districts.[64]

DistrictDuckworthSalviRepresentative
1st69.1%29.6%Bobby Rush (117th Congress)
Jonathan Jackson (118th Congress)
2nd68.9%29.7%Robin Kelly
3rd68.9%29.5%Marie Newman (117th Congress)
Delia Ramirez (118th Congress)
4th69.9%28.3%Chuy García
5th70.4%28.2%Mike Quigley
6th55.3%43.1%Sean Casten
7th86%12.6%Danny Davis
8th56.3%42.1%Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th71.6%27%Jan Schakowsky
10th61.6%36.9%Brad Schneider
11th55.6%42.6%Bill Foster
12th29.4%68.7%Mike Bost
13th55.9%41.9%Nikki Budzinski
14th54.2%44%Lauren Underwood
15th32.2%65.6%Mary Miller
16th38.3%59.8%Darin LaHood
17th51.9%46.1%Cheri Bustos (117th Congress)
Eric Sorensen (118th Congress)

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ Redpath (L) with 2%
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ^ Redpath (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  7. ^ Redpath with 5%
  8. ^ Redpath with 6%; "None" with 4%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  10. ^ Redpath with 2%

References

  1. ^ "US Sen. Tammy Duckworth announces re-election bid". Associated Press News. Chicago. March 10, 2021. Archived from the original on March 11, 2021. Retrieved April 19, 2021.
  2. ^ a b "U.S. Senate Candidates".
  3. ^ a b c d "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senators Duckworth and Murray for Re-Election". End Citizens United. September 9, 2021. Retrieved November 20, 2021.
  4. ^ a b "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  5. ^ a b "Giffords Endorses Tammy Duckworth for Reelection to the US Senate". www.giffords.org. Giffords. March 18, 2022.
  6. ^ a b "Political". www.ialf-cio.org. Retrieved May 1, 2022.
  7. ^ "Political Action Committee". www.ilnow.org.
  8. ^ a b "International Union of Operating Engineers Endorsed Candidates". Politico. Retrieved May 21, 2022.
  9. ^ a b "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
  10. ^ a b Courtnee Connon (June 10, 2021). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of U.S. Senate Endorsements in the 2022 Election Cycle". League of Conservation Voters.
  11. ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
  12. ^ a b Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  13. ^ a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  14. ^ a b "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "Federal Endorsed Candidates". Women's Political Committee.
  16. ^ a b "Election Results 2022 GENERAL PRIMARY". Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved July 28, 2022.[permanent dead link]
  17. ^ a b "Candidates Filed". Illinois Secretary of State. Retrieved March 7, 2022.[permanent dead link]
  18. ^ a b "Editorial: Kathy Salvi for the Republican primary for Tammy Duckworth's U.S. Senate seat". Chicago Tribune. June 8, 2022. Retrieved July 25, 2022.
  19. ^ Newsroom (March 14, 2022). "Kathy Salvi Announces Run For U.S. Senate". wmay.com. Retrieved March 14, 2022. {{cite web}}: |last= has generic name (help)
  20. ^ Pfingsten, Patrick (March 7, 2022). "Tracking Monday Candidate Filings". The Illinoize. Retrieved March 7, 2022.
  21. ^ Robb, Tom (March 11, 2022). "Republican Candidates Welcomed In Niles". Journal & Topics. Retrieved April 20, 2022.
  22. ^ a b Gough, Robert (June 9, 2021). "Peggy Hubbard tries to break through". Muddy River News.
  23. ^ Gilbert, David (June 15, 2021). "QAnon Follower Who Tried to Steal Arizona for Trump Is Running For Senate". VICE. Retrieved January 23, 2022.
  24. ^ a b c Rafael Guerrero (March 15, 2022). "Candidates file to run in Naperville Illinois House, Senate, Congressional primary races". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
  25. ^ "1st Congressional District Republican nominee: Jimmy Lee Tillman II". Chicago Sun Times. October 13, 2018.
  26. ^ Trix, Herb (July 12, 2021). "Southern Illinois Republican Hopes to Challenge Senator Duckworth". WVIK. Retrieved November 22, 2021.
  27. ^ Sheehan, Matt (March 24, 2021). "ON THE RECORD: Allison Salinas plans to challenge Sen. Duckworth's seat with focus on key issues". WMBD-TV. Archived from the original on March 25, 2021. Retrieved April 25, 2021.
  28. ^ Nowicki, Jerry (December 18, 2020). "Illinois House deputy minority leader Demmer considering statewide run in 2022". The State Journal-Register.
  29. ^ Seils, Lizzie (January 11, 2022). "Dixon Rep. Tom Demmer announces run for state treasurer". www.wifr.com. WIFR-LD. Retrieved February 10, 2022.
  30. ^
  31. ^ Sweet, Lynn (January 5, 2022). "Rep. Kinzinger to focus on fighting right-wing extremism, won't run for governor or Senate". Chicago Sun-Times. Archived from the original on January 5, 2022. Retrieved January 6, 2022.
  32. ^ Armentrout, Mitchell (June 12, 2022). "Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll: Ken Griffin, Michael Flynn not prompting Illinois Republican primary voters to decide". chicago.suntimes.com. Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved June 19, 2022. Geneva financial planner Robert "Bobby" Piton... has raised more than $168,000 for his campaign, which is endorsed by Michael Flynn
  33. ^ a b Ives, Jeanne (May 21, 2022). "I support Kathy Salvi". Facebook. Retrieved June 8, 2022.[dead link]
  34. ^ "Endorsement: Salvi in Republican Senate primary". www.dailyherald.com. Daily Herald. June 2022. Retrieved June 8, 2022.
  35. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y "Kathy Salvi for U.S. Senate Endorsements". www.kathysalvi.com. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  36. ^ Eaton, Fran (May 18, 2022). "South Suburban GOPers pick Salvi, Bailey, and Pekau in contested races". www.illinoisreview.com. Illinois Review. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  37. ^ a b Smith, David. "IFA's Pro-Life, Pro-Family Primary Picks for 2022". www.illinoisfamilyaction.org. Illinois Family Action. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  38. ^ a b Kapos, Shia. "Pritzker zeroes in on Roe". www.politico.com. Politico. Retrieved May 9, 2022.
  39. ^ a b Eaton, Fran (May 11, 2022). "NEW TRIER GOP ENDORSES SALVI, RABINE AND DEVORE". www.illinoisreview.com. Illinois Review. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  40. ^ a b "2022 Election Endorsements". www.rowtgop.org. Archived from the original on May 20, 2022. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  41. ^ a b "Sangamon County GOP Endorsements". www.sangamonrepublicans.com. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  42. ^ a b "Schaumburg Township Republican Organization". www.stgop.org. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  43. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  44. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  45. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  46. ^ "Illinois Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  47. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  48. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  49. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  50. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  51. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  52. ^ "Biden in Joliet ahead of Midterm elections". November 5, 2022.
  53. ^ "Biden and Harris to visit Illinois before midterms". November 4, 2022.
  54. ^ "Pritzker, Durbin speak on ISU's campus to endorse Chung, Koehler, encourage voting". November 2, 2022.
  55. ^ "Illinois - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Archived from the original on October 30, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2022.
  56. ^ "Congressional Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
  57. ^ "Endorsed Candidates - VoteVets". votevets.org.
  58. ^ "Editorial: Tammy Duckworth for US Senate". Chicago Tribune. October 12, 2022. Archived from the original on October 13, 2022. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  59. ^ "Endorsement: Duckworth for U.S. Senate". October 8, 2022.
  60. ^ Kapos, Shia (August 5, 2022). "Lisa Hernandez mendings fences". Politico. Retrieved August 22, 2022.
  61. ^ Eaton, Fran (May 18, 2022). "South Suburban GOPers pick Salvi, Bailey, and Pekau in contested races". www.illinoisreview.com. Illinois Review. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  62. ^ "Illinois Endorsements". huckpac.com.
  63. ^ "2022 General Election Results". Archived from the original on January 28, 2021. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
  64. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
Official campaign websites
source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_election_in_Illinois

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